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Things worth reading: 13th January 2012

January 13, 2012 by skinnercm   Comments (0)

Things we're reading today include ...

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South Korea Central Bank Keeps Repo Rate at 3.25%

January 13, 2012 by CentralBankNews   Comments (0)

The Bank of Korea held its 7-day repurchase rate steady at 3.25%.  The Bank said: "In Korea, exports have kept up their steady increase, but domestic demand has been subdued with consumption and construction investment decreasing from the previous month. On the employment front, the number of persons employed has sustained its large scale of increase, led by the private sector. The Committee anticipates that domestic economic growth will gradually return to its long-term trend level going forward, after remaining subdued for some time due mostly to the impact of external risk factors."

At its Decmber meeting the Bank of Korea also held the interest rate unchanged at 3.25%, after increasing the 7-day repurchase rate by 25 basis points to 3.25% at its June meeting.  South Korea reported a steady consumer price inflation of 4.2% in November, compared to 3.9% in October, 4.3% in September, 5.3% in August, 4.7% in July 4.4% in June, 4.1% in May, and 4.2% in April. 

The inflation rate is currently just above the Bank's inflation target of 2%-4% through 2012.  The South Korean economy grew 0.7% in Q3 (0.9% in Q2), placing annual GDP growth at 3.4% (3.4% in Q2).  
The South Korean Won (KRW) has weakened by about 3% over the past year against the US dollar, while the USDKRW exchange rate last traded around 1,149.

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High-Frequency Trading Inspires a Formula

January 13, 2012 by mikeohara   Comments (0)

In a new working paper, Godfrey Cadogan, of Toronto’s Ryerson University, offers a stock-price formula designed to capture the “empirical regularities of high frequency trading.”

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Central Bank of Chile Cuts Rate 25bps to 5.00%

January 13, 2012 by CentralBankNews   Comments (0)

The Banco Central de Chile cut its monetary policy interest rate by 25 basis points to 5.00% from 5.25% previously.  The Bank noted: "Domestically, output and demand have evolved in line with forecasts in the latest Monetary Policy Report. The labor market is still tight. The money market has normalized, while financing conditions for some agents are tighter than a few months ago. December's headline and core inflation was higher than expected due to the prices of perishables and other foods and the lagged incidence of the peso depreciation in the fourth quarter of 2011. Inflation expectations remain near the target."


Chile's central bank previously kept the monetary policy interest rate unchanged at 5.25% at its December meeting.  The Bank last raised its monetary policy interest rate by 25 basis points to 5.25% at its June meeting last year.  Chile reported annual consumer price inflation of 3.7% in October, compared to 3.3% in September, 3.2% in August, 2.9% in July, 3.4% in June, 3.3% in May and 3.2% in April last year; within the Bank's inflation target of 2-4%.  

The Chilean economy grew 8.4% in the first half of 2011, driven by strong domestic demand; full year GDP growth is expected around 6.5%.  The Chilean Peso (CLP) has weakened about 2% against the US dollar over the past year, while the USDCLP exchange rate last traded around 501.

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Bank Indonesia Keeps Interest Rate at 6.00%

January 12, 2012 by CentralBankNews   Comments (0)

Indonesia's central bank, Bank Indonesia, kept the BI reference rate unchanged at 6.00%.  Bank Indonesia Governor, Darmin Nasution, said: "Board of Governors views that current BI rate is still consistent with inflation targets, financial system stability, and remains conducive to propel domestic economic expansion amidst global economic uncertainty. In 2011, Indonesian economy showed strong performance with low inflation, higher economic growth, stable exchange rate, and stable financial system. The achievement was supported by various policies implemented by Bank Indonesia and the government. Going forward, Bank Indonesia will monitor closely the worsening global economic condition. Regarding the policy, Bank Indonesia will continue to strengthen monetary and macro-prudential policy mix, as well as coordination with the government."

Previously the Bank cut the interest rate by 50 basis points at its November meeting, and also cut the key monetary policy rate (the BI Rate) by 25 basis points to 6.50% at its October meeting.  Previously the Bank raised the BI rate by 25 basis points to the current 6.75% in February 2011.  Indonesia reported annual inflation of 4.1% in November, down slightly from 4.61% in September, compared o 4.79% in August and July, 4.61% in June, 5.98% in May, 6.16% in April, and 6.65% in March, and just inside the inflation target of 5% +/-1% in 2011 (which changes to 4.5% +/-1% in 2012).  

Bank Governor Nasution previously said the Bank expects "inflation next year [2012] will be below 5%".  Bank Indonesia has previously forecast GDP growth of 6.3-6.8% in 2011 and 6.4-6.9% in 2012 for the Indonesian economy, meanwhile Indonesia reported annual GDP growth of 6.5% in the June quarter last year.  


The Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) has weakened by about 1% against the US dollar over the past year, and the USDIDR exchange rate last traded around 9,157.

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Bank of England Keeps Rate at 0.50%, APP at 275B

January 12, 2012 by CentralBankNews   Comments (0)

The Bank of England (BoE) held the Bank Rate at a record low stimulatory level of 0.50%, and continued with its Asset Purchase Program (Quantitative Easing) target of GBP 275 billion, after increasing it by 75 billion at its October meeting.  On its asset purchase program, the Bank said: "The Committee expects the announced programme of asset purchases to take until early February to complete. The scale of the programme will be kept under review."  The Bank releases its minutes on the 25th of January.

The Bank also held the official Bank Rate unchanged at 0.50% at its December meeting last year; the rate has remained on hold since March 2009, when the Bank reduced the interest rate by 50 basis points to 0.50%.  The United Kingdom reported annual consumer price inflation of 5.2% in September, 4.5% in August, and 4.4% in July, and still above the Bank's inflation target of 2.00%.

The UK saw quarterly GDP growth of 0.5% in Q3 this year (0.1% in Q2, 0.5% in Q1), while annual economic growth was reported at 0.5% (0.7% in Q2, 1.6% in Q1).  The British pound (GBP) is basically flat against the US dollar so far this year, while the USDGBP exchange rate last traded around 0.64.

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European Central Bank Holds Rate at 1.00%

January 12, 2012 by CentralBankNews   Comments (0)

The European Central Bank (ECB) held its Main refinancing operations rate unchanged at 1.00%.  ECB governor, Mario Draghi, said: "Inflation is likely to stay above 2% for several months to come, before declining to below 2%. At the same time, the underlying pace of monetary expansion remains moderate. As expected, ongoing financial market tensions continue to dampen economic activity in the euro area, while, according to some recent survey indicators, there are tentative signs of a stabilisation in activity at low levels. The economic outlook remains subject to high uncertainty and substantial downside risks. In such an environment, cost, wage and price pressures in the euro area should remain modest and inflation rates should develop in line with price stability over the policy-relevant horizon. "

The ECB previously announced (making no changes to this time) a series of measures "to support bank lending and money market activity". These measures included longer-term refinancing operations (LTROs), reduction in the reserve ratio to 1% from 2% presently, and increasing collateral availability through reducing the rating threshold for asset-backed securities (ABS), and allowing national central banks to accept bank loans as collateral. Essentially the moves are designed to prevent a freezing up of credit markets and liquidity akin to that seen during the global financial crisis. 

Previously the ECB also cut the interest rate by 25 basis points at its November and December meetings.  The ECB last increased the interest rates by 25 basis points at its July meeting; pausing in May and June, after raising the rate by 25 basis points to 1.25% in April last year.  The Euro Area reported annual HICP inflation of 3% in November and October and September, 2.5% in August and July, 2.7% in June (same as May) and above the Bank's inflation target of maintaining inflation below, but close to, 2% over the medium term. 


The 
Euro Area reported quarterly GDP growth in the September quarter of 0.2% (1.4% y/y); the same as the June quarter of 0.2%, following a 0.8% increase in the March quarter, and a 0.3% increase in the December quarter of 2010.  The Euro (EUR) has weakened by about 5% against the US dollar over the past year, while the EURUSD exchange rate last traded around 1.28

www.CentralBankNews.info

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