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Tunisia's central bank raised its key interest rate by 50 basis points to 4.75 percent at an extraordinary board meeting to help ease rising inflationary pressures following a sharp fall in the dinar's exchange rate and said it was closely following those pressures so it could "undertake the appropriate actions on time."
It was the first change in rates by the Central Bank of Tunisia (CBT) since October 2015, when the rate was lowered by 50 basis points. The bank's board met on April 25.
The central bank also raised the minimum savings rate that banks can offer by 50 points to 4.0 percent to boost the incentive to save and thus liquidity in the financial system. Tunisia's banks are in need of liquidity given a weak level of savings in the country, the central bank said.
The rate hike comes a week after Tunisia's finance minister said the central bank would reduce interventions in the foreign exchange market so the value of the dinar gradually declines in an effort to boost exports and lower imports, and thus reduce the trade deficit.
But last week's sharp fall in the dinar appears to have surprised the central bank, which said economic data "in no way justify the fluctuations recorded on the exchange market," and talks between the IMF and the government "were globally positive and encouraging."
The central bank added it did not have an exchange rate target in mind, nor was it floating the dinar but would carry out "well-calibrated interventions" to smooth our sharp fluctuations in the exchange rate while seeking to "contain the trade deficit slippage," ensure financing of imports and preserve foreign currency reserves.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) last week released some US$319 million as part of an overall fund facility for Tunisia of some $638.5 million that is aimed at boosting economic growth and jobs at a time of high fiscal and external deficits.
The government and IMF are also working to increase social spending and strengthening the country's social safety net to "protect the vulnerable in these challenging times," the IMF said.
The IMF also said on April 17 that tighter monetary policy would help counteract inflationary pressures, give further flexibility to the exchange rate and narrow the trade deficit.
On April 18 the finance minister told local radio that the central bank would reduce its interventions in the foreign exchange market while still preventing a sharp slide in the dinar and avoiding what he described as Egypt's "brutal devaluation" of its pound last year of over 30 percent.
On April 20 and 21 the dinar fell by almost 9 percent to 2.52 to the U.S. dollar but it has rebounded this week and was trading at 2.46 today, down 6.5 percent since the start of this year.
Tunisia's inflation rate rose to 4.8 percent in March from 4.6 percent in the two previous months while Gross Domestic Product in the fourth quarter of last year rose by an annual 1.1. percent, down from 1.2 percent in the third quarter.
It its statement, the IMF said growth was expected to double this year to 2.3 percent "but will remain too low to significantly reduce unemployment, especially in the interior regions and among the youth."
The official unemployment rate was 15.5 percent in the last quarter of 2016.
The Central Bank of Tunisia issued the following statement:
"The Executive Board of the Central Bank of Tunisia held on 25 April 2017 an exceptional meeting to examine the recent trends on the exchange market which recorded, over the last week, increasing pressure in line with operators’ increasing demand for foreign currency, yielding thus a sharp depreciation of the dinar, notably against the dollar and the euro.
Turkey's central bank left its benchmark one-week repurchase rate steady at 8.0 percent but raised its late liquidity lending rate by a further 25 basis points to 12.0 percent and held out the prospect of further rate hikes to prevent a deterioration in the inflation outlook.
While the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) has maintained its key rate since hiking it by 50 basis points in November last year, it has been tightening its policy stance by other means, such as raising other policy rates, the rate it pays on local lenders' U.S dollar reserves and required reserve ratios in a bid to boost the value of the lira and thus slow down inflation.
But inflation jumped to 11.29 percent in March, the highest since October 2008, and the second consecutive month of double-digit inflation, well in excess of the bank's target of about 5 percent.
The CBRT's cautious rate hike today comes a week after Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan, an ardent critic of high interest rates, won a referendum that grants him wider powers.
The CBRT said food prices had led to a rapid rise in inflation and while the recent rise in risk appetite by investors may contain some of the pressure on costs, the current level of inflation risks leading to even further cost rises.
Data showed prices of clothing and foot wear rose by 1.99 percent in March from February, followed by a 1.93 percent rise in the cost of food and non-alcoholic beverages.
Looking ahead, the central bank said it's tight monetary policy stance would continue until there is a "significant improvement in the inflation outlook" and "additional monetary tightening will be possible if needed."
After falling sharply in the last two months of 2016, Turkey's lira has staged a slight rebound since hitting a historic low of 3.87 to the U.S. dollar in late January, helped by the central bank's various tightening measures.
Today the lira was trading at 3.59 to the dollar, down 1.7 percent since the start of this year.
The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey issued the following statement:
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Indonesia's central bank left its benchmark 7-day reverse repo (RR) rate steady at 4.75 percent, as expected, saying economic growth in the first quarter of this year was likely to be below expectations due to slower growth in retail and automotive sales.
However, growth is expected to accelerate in the second quarter, supported by stronger investment and exports while consumption would be stable. Rising commodity prices and stronger external demand would help drive exports and investment, Bank Indonesia (BI) said.
Last month BI forecast economic growth this year of 5.0 to 5.4 percent, up from 5.02 percent in 2016 and 4.88 percent in 2015 on stronger private consumption, rising exports, higher government spending and improve private and government investment.
Economic activity in Indonesia slowed in the fourth quarter of last year as consumer spending eased along with government spending while exports and investments rose. On a quarterly basis, Gross Domestic Product shrank by 1.77 percent from the third quarter while on an annual basis GDP rose by 4.94 percent, down from 5.01 percent in the third quarter.
BI cut its 7 day RR rate twice last year by a total of 50 basis points following four cuts in its previous benchmark rate by a total of 100 points from January through June.
Indonesia's inflation rate eased to a lower-than-expected 3.61 percent in March from 3.83 percent in February due to higher supply of food while administered prices declined due to lower airfares that helped reduce the impact of higher electricity rates.
Indonesia's rupiah has been firm this year and was trading at 13,327 to the U.S. dollar today, up 1.3 percent since the start of this year.
BI said appreciation of the rupiah was supported by macroeconomic stability and investors' positive view of the country's economic outlook coupled with easing global risks. This lead to an influx of non-resident capital to Indonesian stocks and government debt.
Bank Indonesia issued the following statement:
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